When the first Neanderthal bones were uncovered in 1856, they sparked a flood of questions about these mysterious ancient humans. Were they similar to us or fundamentally different? Did our ...
We’re heading into a long weekend, but my report on the Senate poll snapshot is long overdue. We made two important updates this week.First, we fixed an error – I’ll write ...
You don’t always need all the science I described in my TED talk. In Campaign 2024, sometimes a hand calculator is enough. Currently, four Senate races show polling margins ...
Today, some local news. A dear colleague and friend, John Hopfield, today won the Nobel Prize in Physics for his contributions to the theory of neural networks and artificial ...
People usually consume polls in a passive manner, as they would a sports game or a television program. In Friday’s Washington Post I argue (gift link) that in a close election ...
Lovely unseasonable weather out here on the East Coast. Get out there to a swing House district! Some systematic error in polls is inevitable. Mathematically, it’s highly ...
After all the canvassing, donation, and activism, tonight now we observe. Later this afternoon I will publish the Princeton Election Consortium biennial Geek’s Guide to the ...
It is inevitable that polls will have some error. Averaging does not solve the problem since it only reduces error arising from sampling a population. Averaging does not ...
The 2024 PEC Geek’s Guide to the Election is here. Let’s use this entry at the Fixing Bugs in Democracy site for an open thread. (No subscription required, it’s free.) ...
