{"id":189655,"date":"2025-04-17T21:40:17","date_gmt":"2025-04-17T21:40:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/som2nypost.com\/business\/investing\/stock-market-outlook-april-13-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-04-17T21:40:17","modified_gmt":"2025-04-17T21:40:17","slug":"stock-market-outlook-april-13-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/som2nypost.com\/?p=189655","title":{"rendered":"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 April 13 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of April 13th = <span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>ADX Directional Indicators: <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>On Balance Volume Indicator: <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Downtrend<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>ANALYSIS<\/strong><\/span><br \/>The stock market outlook remains in a downtrend after another historic week for U.S. equities.<\/p>\n<p>After ALL THAT, the <a href=\"http:\/\/schrts.co\/MAZBdHHC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">S&amp;P500 ( <em>$SPX<\/em> )<\/a> rose 5.7%.\u00a0 The index sits ~7% below the 50-day moving average and ~7% below the 200-day moving average.\u00a0 The index filled one of the gaps mentioned last week ( <em>5300 to 5400 )<\/em>; the other one <em>( 5500 to 5600 )<\/em> remains unfilled.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8827\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8827\" data-attachment-id=\"8827\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/04\/13\/stock-market-outlook-april-13-2025\/2025-04-13-spx_trendline_analysis-daily\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png\" data-orig-size=\"1329,990\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-04-13-SPX_Trendline_Analysis-Daily\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Stock chart with trendlines, volume, ADX, and OBV for daily SPX prices&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;SPX Price &amp; Volume Chart for Apr 13 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8827\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-spx_trendline_analysis-daily.png?w=640\" alt=\"Technical analysis of daily SPX prices\" width=\"640\" height=\"477\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8827\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">SPX Price &amp; Volume Chart for Apr 13 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>All three technical indicators <em>( ADX, OBV, and Institutional Activity )<\/em> remains in bearish territory.\u00a0 No surprises here.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8826\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8826\" data-attachment-id=\"8826\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/04\/13\/stock-market-outlook-april-13-2025\/2025-04-13-sector_performance_analysis\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-sector_performance_analysis.png\" data-orig-size=\"1327,949\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-04-13-Sector_Performance_Analysis\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for each S&amp;P500 Sector ETF&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;S&amp;P Sector Performance for Week 16 of 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8826\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-sector_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance of S&amp;P500 sector ETFs\" width=\"640\" height=\"458\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8826\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">S&amp;P Sector Performance for Week 16 of 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Almost all sectors recovered some ground last week, with the Tech sector leading the way.\u00a0 Real Estate fell just shy of break even.\u00a0 Consumer Staples shifted back to Neutral bias; all the other sectors remain bearish.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8828\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8828\" data-attachment-id=\"8828\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/04\/13\/stock-market-outlook-april-13-2025\/2025-04-13-style_performance_analysis\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-style_performance_analysis.png\" data-orig-size=\"1321,956\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-04-13-Style_Performance_Analysis\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for each investing style&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Sector Style Performance for Week 16 of 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-style_performance_analysis.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-style_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8828\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-style_performance_analysis.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance by sector style\" width=\"640\" height=\"463\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8828\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sector Style Performance for Week 16 of 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>All sector styles registered a gain last week, with Momentum scoring the largest gain. No changes in bias; all styles remain bearish.<\/p>\n<div data-shortcode=\"caption\" id=\"attachment_8825\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8825\" data-attachment-id=\"8825\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/2025\/04\/13\/stock-market-outlook-april-13-2025\/2025-04-13-asset_class_performance\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-asset_class_performance.png\" data-orig-size=\"1327,704\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"2025-04-13-Asset_Class_Performance\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Data table with weekly returns for various asset classes&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Asset Class Performance for Week 16 2025&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-asset_class_performance.png?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-asset_class_performance.png?w=640\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8825\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.invest-safely.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/2025-04-13-asset_class_performance.png?w=640\" alt=\"Weekly price performance by asset class\" width=\"640\" height=\"340\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-8825\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Asset Class Performance for Week 16 2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Gold <em>( $GLD )<\/em> was the best asset last week, though equities weren\u2019t far behind.\u00a0 Bonds<em> ( $IEF<\/em> ) and the dollar were the worst asset classes.\u00a0 Bonds also shifted to a bearish bias due to the recent rise in rates.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>COMMENTARY<\/strong><\/span><br \/>Another wild week for financial markets is in the books.\u00a0 Given the level of uncertainty around outcomes from the new U.S. tariff regime and diplomacy by social media, expect the volatility to continue.<\/p>\n<p>Lost in the noise was improved inflation data.\u00a0 Headline and Core CPI came in lower than expectations, which was welcome news for those hoping for rate cuts at the next FOMC meeting.<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse;width: AUTO\" border=\"1\" width=\"AUTO\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"7\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td><strong>CPI (y\/y)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Actual<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Prior<br \/><\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Expected<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>Headline<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.4%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.8%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.6%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>Core<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.8%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.1%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.0%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>March producer prices (PPI) were also lower in March.<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse;width: AUTO\" border=\"1\" width=\"AUTO\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"7\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td><strong>PPI (y\/y)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Actual<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Prior<br \/><\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Expected<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>Headline<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+2.7%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.2%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.3%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"width: 50pt;height: 15.0pt\">\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>Core<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.3%<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.5%*<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right\"><em>+3.6%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>The first set of bank earnings beat expectations, but their outlooks didn\u2019t instill a lot of confidence about the rest of the year.\u00a0 Long range planning requires some level of certainty, and the \u201cprice\u201d of waiting 90 days is much lower than the cost of a strategic misstep.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s a complex system at work, which means there many \u201cunintended\u201d or \u201cunanticipated\u201d reactions that will catch investors off guard.\u00a0 Rather than try to predict what will happen, watch for more constructive price action: the return of bullish biases, stocks breaking out of solid bases with higher volume, $VIX\n<\/p>\n<p>Best to Your Week!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong><em>P.S. If you find this research helpful, please tell a friend.<br \/>If you don\u2019t, tell an enemy.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<h6>Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Hedgeye, Stockcharts.com, TradingEconomics.com, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics<\/h6>\n<hr\/>\n<h6>Invest Safely, LLC is an independent investment research and online financial media company.\u00a0 Use of Invest Safely, LLC and any other products available through invest-safely.com is subject to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.<\/h6>\n<h6>Not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.<\/h6>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of April 13th = Downtrend ADX Directional Indicators: Downtrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): Downtrend On Balance Volume Indicator: Downtrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook remains in a downtrend after another historic week for U.S. equities. After ALL THAT, the S&amp;P500 ( $SPX ) rose 5.7%.\u00a0 The index sits ~7% [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":189656,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[96],"tags":[4759,11209,12752,3310],"dealstore":[],"offerexpiration":[],"class_list":["post-189655","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-april","tag-market","tag-outlook","tag-stock"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Stock Market Outlook \u2013 April 13 2025 - Som2ny Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/som2nypost.com\/?p=189655\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stock Market Outlook \u2013 April 13 2025 - Som2ny Network\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of April 13th = Downtrend ADX Directional Indicators: Downtrend Institutional Activity (Price &amp; Volume): Downtrend On Balance Volume Indicator: Downtrend ANALYSISThe stock market outlook remains in a downtrend after another historic week for U.S. equities. 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